Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Why lottery systems work?

I've got lazy and didn't let you know the final result of my challenge. Remember I bet with a guy over the internet that I am going to get more second prizes than him using the same amount of money. He used $200 for a "Cash 5" game and didn't manage to get any second prize (4 numbers on the same row) for 200 draws in a row. Instead of using random numbers I used a few lottery systems and, as I let you know, I managed to catch 5 second prizes and the challenge was not over at the time. Now it's over (it stopped a few months ago) and meantime I managed to get another 3 second prize winners. So in total I've got 8 second prize winners compared to zero for the other guy. You can argue that I've got lucky once or twice but 8 times compare to nothing can't be a coincidence. If you don't believe me do the same thing, pick some random numbers or use some of the systems I presented on this site and see which one is going to get you more results. 

The question you may ask is WHY lottery systems work? The answer it's easy: mathematics. Let's say I am choosing the 15 numbers system I show you in the other posts. If you want to play all the combinations  possible you need to play 15*14*13*12*11/1*2*3*4*5 which is 3,003. You need to spend 3,003 dollars to play all these combinations. This is a huge amount of money. Of course if 5 numbers draw are among the 15 you chose you are guaranteed the jackpot. But if you miss a number you are going to get say 5-10 second prizes valued at around 100 each. But you can miss 2-3 or all 5 numbers and you lost a huge amount of money for only one draw. Instead of using 3,003 dollars to play all the combination possible out of 15 chosen numbers you can pick a lottery system that let's you play the same 15 numbers but in a reduced form using, 15, 27 or 118 dollars. The beauty of the lottery systems is that you use very little money compared with he original amount but the chances to get the second or the third prizes is not diminished considerable. How is this possible?

Assume you pick the first 15 numbers. If you play the full system you will have the following combinations;

1) 1-2-3-4-5
2) 1-2-3-4-6
3) 1-2-3-4-7
... and so on.

As you can see 1-2-3-4 is going to appear 11 times and the same goes for any other 4 numbers combination. When you are designing the system you can ask to computer that no given 4 number combination should appear more than once. So your reduced system is going to cost you 11 times less, yet the second prize is guaranteed. The systems I used for my challenge were cheaper, I spent only 27 dollars for 15 numbers system. These system actually guarantees only the third prize (3 numbers on the same line), yet I managed to get 4 numbers in a row (second prize) a few times. I also used a 10 numbers system that guarantees the second prize.  

I know in principle how this systems are created but but I don't know enough programing so I can create them myself. If you know programing and you can explained in a language I understand a little bit (C or Perl) I'll be grateful. 

I don't encourage anybody gambling since the odds are against you but if you do play lottery play reduced systems, if you go to a casino learn the rules and play blackjack (or poker if you're good), if you put money in stock market learn a little bit of technical analysis.


Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Another winner

I haven't check my numbers for a while and I was pleasantly surprised to see that on July 9th I've got the fifth "second prize" winner at "Cash 5". The winning numbers were:  2   4   6   23   30. I've got four of them (2, 6, 23, 30) in system number 3), play 18.

I've also got many "third prizes" winners (3 numbers in a row) but I don't count them anymore since the point was to get at least one "second prize" winner.

I am working on two expensive systems but with good chances at winning.

All the best!

babaro

Sunday, June 12, 2011

Fourth second prize

The challenge continues, almost 3 months left and I already hit the second prize for the 4th time. The numbers drawn at "Cash 5" (Pennsylvania lottery) on Friday, June 10th were:

1-10-16-30-31.

I've got 4 numbers (1-10-30-31) in two different systems, system 6) and system 8). In system 8) I managed to get only 3 numbers on the same line. However, on system 6) I've got all of them in one line (play 14). This is for the 4th time I am getting 4 numbers out of 5 and I think I already proved my point that is much better to play a system than random numbers.

Wednesday, April 6, 2011

I've hit the second prize!

As you remember three months ago I accepted a challenge, that I am going to hit the second prize at "Cash 5" a game that picks 5 random numbers out of 43. The idea was to prove a point, that you have a better chance to get a lottery prize if you play a reduced lottery system than just randomly picking some numbers. The guy that challenged me said that he randomly picked 200 sets of 5 numbers between 1 and 39 and watched them for two years and never managed to get 4 numbers on the same line (the second prize). I told him that I can use the same $200 but play them my way, using a few reduced lottery systems and I am going to hit the second prize. Since "California cash 5" was played twice a week, that would mean I was going to watch my numbers for 200 consecutive draws. The odds were actually against me, since my "Cash 5" has 43 numbers, not 39. To make it a little bit more fair I decided to watch my numbers for an extra 50 draws. Even this way the odds were against me.

Anyway, a few days ago (on March 28) I've got TWO second prizes on "Cash 5", a Pennsylvania lottery game. The numbers were: 3, 7, 10, 16, 37.

You can have a look at the article published on January ("I accept the challenge"). Those of you who watched the challenge and saved the numbers as I adviced you back then so I cannot be accused of cheating realize now that it's for real. Of course one can argue that this doesn't prove anything, it was just luck. So I am going to push my "luck" further and say that I am going to hit at least one second prize by the end of the 250 draws.

Please note that I've got many more third and fourth prizes. Yet, the losses are devastating so far and if I don't hit the jackpot I am going to lose (this is only on paper, I am not actually spending $200 per day on lottery). This should not come as a surprise since we all know that the odds against the lottery players are staggering.

However, there are many people that play together, using only a few bucks per day (lottery pools) so nobody is going to get broke by playing. For these people playing $50-100 or more at random or using reduced lottery systems makes a huge difference.


Thursday, February 10, 2011

14 numbers system for "6 out 49"

Here is the system. Replace these 14 numbers with your favorit ones.


Play 1 1 4 6 7 8 11
Play 2 2 3 5 8 10 14
Play 3 1 5 9 10 11 13
Play 4 1 2 6 7 13 14
Play 5 6 8 10 11 12 14
Play 6 4 5 6 7 10 12
Play 7 1 3 7 8 12 14
Play 8 2 3 5 6 9 11
Play 9 2 4 6 8 9 13
Play 10 4 5 7 9 11 14
Play 11 1 2 3 4 6 10
Play 12 3 4 9 10 12 14
Play 13 3 4 7 8 10 13
Play 14 2 3 11 12 13 14
Play 15 5 6 9 12 13 14
Play 16 1 4 5 8 12 13
Play 17 2 7 8 9 11 12

With no miss you have 9% chance to hit the jackpot, 39% chance to get the second prize and 52% chance to get the third prize so it only guarantees the third prize. If you miss one number you have 25% chance to get the second prize and 55% to get the third prize.

Good luck!

Friday, January 21, 2011

15 numbers system for "5 out of 39"

This is a system similar to one I posted before. It's a bit cheaper, only 15 plays instead of 27. This system guarantees 3 numbers in a row. The one with 27 plays guarantees 3x 3 numbers in a row.

Here are the numbers.


Play 1 1-5-11-12-15
Play 2 7-9-12-13-15
Play 3 1-6-7-10-12
Play 4 2-3-4-8-14
Play 5 8-9-10-11-13
Play 6 3-4-5-6-13
Play 7 2-5-7-9-14
Play 8 2-6-11-14-15
Play 9 1-3-4-10-15
Play 10 1-6-7-8-9
Play 11 3-4-10-11-12
Play 12 1-2-7-13-14
Play 13 5-8-10-12-15
Play 14 1-3-4-6-9
Play 15 7-8-11-12-13

With no miss you have 21% chance to hit the first prize, 47% chance to get the second prize and 32% chance to get the third prize.

With one miss you have 38% chance to get the second prize and 50% chance to get the third prize.

With two misses you have 67% chance to get the third prize.
Good luck!

Friday, January 14, 2011

14 numbers system for "5 out 39"

A 14 numbers system for 5 out 39 (5 out of 43 in my case). Substitute these numbers with your favorite number. This is a "minus 2" system, it guarantees the third prize (3 numbers in a row).

Play 1 1-3-4-9-13
Play 2 4-6-9-10-13
Play 3 2-7-8-11-14
Play 4 1-2-5-10-12
Play 5 3-5-6-8-12
Play 6 1-6-7-11-14
Play 7 3-7-10-11-14
Play 8 4-5-9-12-13
Play 9 2-3-5-6-12
Play 10 1-5-8-10-12
Play 11 1-2-3-7-8



With no miss you have 21% chance to hit the jackpot, 47% chance to get the second prize and 32% to get the third prize.

With one miss you have 45% chance to get the second prize, 45% chance to get the third prize and 10% chance to get the 4th prize.

With two misses toy have 75% chance to get the third prize

Good luck!

Saturday, January 8, 2011

I accept the chalenge!

I just had a discussion with somebody about lottery in general. He said it's a total waste of money which by the way I do agree since the odds are against you. Then we talk about improving your chance to win the second or the third prize and I've got a total rejection of "my" idea (it's not mine, of course) that there are lottery systems that can give you a better bang for your buck. The argument was "numbers are totally random so there is no way you can increase your chances". He said he took 200 sets of numbers and virtually played the California SuperLotto and checked them twice a week for two years and never even got 4 numbers, not to mention 5 or the jackpot (5 plus the mega number). I am not actually surprised! If you pick them randomly that's what could happen. Now I am taking the challenge and use the same 200 dollars and play them my way, with a few lottery systems. I am going to use "Cash 5" a game we have in Pennsylvania where you need to pick 5 numbers out of 43. I do this because I am more familiar with their website and if I forget to check the numbers a few days in a row I can go even two years back to look at them. I don't know how to make the challenge fair, California Superlotto is 5 out 39 plus another number out of 27 possible. Let's ignore the "meganumber" and focus only on the 5 out of 39. In this case the odds are against me because "Cash 5" is 5 out 43 not 5 out of 39. California lottery is twice a week, multiplied by two years means 208 draws. To make a little bit fair I am going to watch my numbers 250 draws instead.

I am going to use two types of system, a 10 numbers system at "minus 1" (guaranteed 4 numbers if all 5 numbers draw are among the 10 numbers I have picked) and another one with 15 numbers at "minus 2" (guaranteed 3 numbers). Let's see if I can get at least one second prize in 250 draws and how many times I am going to get 3 numbers. "Cash 5" also pays one dollar if you get two numbers. I am going to update this post every day. Unless I am going to hit the jackpot, at the end of the 250 draws most likely I am going to be on the losing side but this is not the point, the point is to see if I can beat the "random" approach.



Here are the numbers. Save them so I won't be accused of cheating.

1) 1, 7, 9, 11, 12, 25, 30, 33, 37, 41

Play 1 7 9 33 37 41
Play 2 7 12 30 33 37
Play 3 1 7 9 25 30
Play 4 1 11 12 30 37
Play 5 1 25 30 33 41
Play 6 11 12 33 37 41
Play 7 1 7 11 25 37
Play 8 1 9 25 33 37
Play 9 9 12 25 30 41
Play 10 7 9 11 12 37
Play 11 7 12 25 33 41
Play 12 1 11 12 25 41
Play 13 9 11 25 30 33
Play 14 1 9 11 37 41
Play 15 7 11 25 30 41
Play 16 1 7 12 37 41
Play 17 1 9 11 12 33
Play 18 1 7 11 33 41


2) 3, 6, 9, 10, 12, 16, 23, 24, 25, 37

Play 1 6 9 24 25 37
Play 2 6 12 23 24 25
Play 3 3 6 9 16 23
Play 4 3 10 12 23 25
Play 5 3 16 23 24 37
Play 6 10 12 24 25 37
Play 7 3 6 10 16 25
Play 8 3 9 16 24 25
Play 9 9 12 16 23 37
Play 10 6 9 10 12 25
Play 11 6 12 16 24 37
Play 12 3 10 12 16 37
Play 13 9 10 16 23 24
Play 14 3 9 10 25 37
Play 15 6 10 16 23 37
Play 16 3 6 12 25 37
Play 17 3 9 10 12 24
Play 18 3 6 10 24 37


3) 2, 6, 12, 23, 24, 25, 28, 30, 31, 32

Play 1 6 12 30 31 32
Play 2 6 24 28 30 31
Play 3 2 6 12 25 28
Play 4 2 23 24 28 31
Play 5 2 25 28 30 32
Play 6 23 24 30 31 32
Play 7 2 6 23 25 31
Play 8 2 12 25 30 31
Play 9 12 24 25 28 32
Play 10 6 12 23 24 31
Play 11 6 24 25 30 32
Play 12 2 23 24 25 32
Play 13 12 23 25 28 30
Play 14 2 12 23 31 32
Play 15 6 23 25 28 32
Play 16 2 6 24 31 32
Play 17 2 12 23 24 30
Play 18 2 6 23 30 32

4) 1, 2, 11, 21, 22, 23, 28, 32, 34, 41

Play 1 2 11 32 34 41
Play 2 2 22 28 32 34
Play 3 1 2 11 23 28
Play 4 1 21 22 28 34
Play 5 1 23 28 32 41
Play 6 21 22 32 34 41
Play 7 1 2 21 23 34
Play 8 1 11 23 32 34
Play 9 11 22 23 28 41
Play 10 2 11 21 22 34
Play 11 2 22 23 32 41
Play 12 1 21 22 23 41
Play 13 11 21 23 28 32
Play 14 1 11 21 34 41
Play 15 2 21 23 28 41
Play 16 1 2 22 34 41
Play 17 1 11 21 22 32
Play 18 1 2 21 32 41

5) 1, 4, 8, 14, 15, 18, 21, 23, 30, 35


Play 1 4 8 23 30 35
Play 2 4 15 21 23 30
Play 3 1 4 8 18 21
Play 4 1 14 15 21 30
Play 5 1 18 21 23 35
Play 6 14 15 23 30 35
Play 7 1 4 14 18 30
Play 8 1 8 18 23 30
Play 9 8 15 18 21 35
Play 10 4 8 14 15 30
Play 11 4 15 18 23 35
Play 12 1 14 15 18 35
Play 13 8 14 18 21 23
Play 14 1 8 14 30 35
Play 15 4 14 18 21 35
Play 16 1 4 15 30 35
Play 17 1 8 14 15 23
Play 18 1 4 14 23 35

6) 1, 2, 9, 10, 11, 14, 15, 18, 21, 24, 25, 30, 31, 32, 37

Play 1 10 11 21 25 32
Play 2 1 2 10 14 32
Play 3 2 11 25 30 37
Play 4 2 11 18 24 31
Play 5 1 9 11 18 31
Play 6 2 14 24 25 37
Play 7 9 15 24 30 32
Play 8 14 15 21 30 31
Play 9 10 15 18 21 37
Play 10 1 9 21 24 37
Play 11 9 10 14 18 25
Play 12 1 15 25 31 32
Play 13 14 18 30 32 37
Play 14 1 10 24 30 31
Play 15 2 9 21 31 32
Play 16 1 9 11 14 15
Play 17 1 18 21 25 30
Play 18 9 10 11 31 37
Play 19 2 10 15 18 24
Play 20 11 14 21 24 25
Play 21 2 9 15 21 30
Play 22 1 15 24 32 37
Play 23 2 9 25 31 37
Play 24 10 11 15 30 32
Play 25 14 18 24 31 32
Play 26 2 11 18 21 25
Play 27 1 2 10 14 37

7) 3, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11, 12, 16, 22, 23, 24, 30, 33, 37, 41

Play 1 9 10 22 24 37
Play 2 3 6 9 11 37
Play 3 6 10 24 30 41
Play 4 6 10 16 23 33
Play 5 3 7 10 16 33
Play 6 6 11 23 24 41
Play 7 7 12 23 30 37
Play 8 11 12 22 30 33
Play 9 9 12 16 22 41
Play 10 3 7 22 23 41
Play 11 7 9 11 16 24
Play 12 3 12 24 33 37
Play 13 11 16 30 37 41
Play 14 3 9 23 30 33
Play 15 6 7 22 33 37
Play 16 3 7 10 11 12
Play 17 3 16 22 24 30
Play 18 7 9 10 33 41
Play 19 6 9 12 16 23
Play 20 10 11 22 23 24
Play 21 6 7 12 22 30
Play 22 3 12 23 37 41
Play 23 6 7 24 33 41
Play 24 9 10 12 30 37
Play 25 11 16 23 33 37
Play 26 6 10 16 22 24
Play 27 3 6 9 11 41

8) 1, 2, 4, 8, 9, 10, 14, 15, 18, 21, 25, 30, 31, 32, 37

Play 1 8 9 18 25 32
Play 2 1 2 8 10 32
Play 3 2 9 25 30 37
Play 4 2 9 15 21 31
Play 5 1 4 9 15 31
Play 6 2 10 21 25 37
Play 7 4 14 21 30 32
Play 8 10 14 18 30 31
Play 9 8 14 15 18 37
Play 10 1 4 18 21 37
Play 11 4 8 10 15 25
Play 12 1 14 25 31 32
Play 13 10 15 30 32 37
Play 14 1 8 21 30 31
Play 15 2 4 18 31 32
Play 16 1 4 9 10 14
Play 17 1 15 18 25 30
Play 18 4 8 9 31 37
Play 19 2 8 14 15 21
Play 20 9 10 18 21 25
Play 21 2 4 14 18 30
Play 22 1 14 21 32 37
Play 23 2 4 25 31 37
Play 24 8 9 14 30 32
Play 25 10 15 21 31 32
Play 26 2 9 15 18 25
Play 27 1 2 8 10 37


9) 2, 3, 6, 8, 11, 12, 16, 22, 24, 28, 31, 32, 34, 37, 41

Play 1 8 11 24 31 37
Play 2 2 3 8 12 37
Play 3 3 11 31 32 41
Play 4 3 11 22 28 34
Play 5 2 6 11 22 34
Play 6 3 12 28 31 41
Play 7 6 16 28 32 37
Play 8 12 16 24 32 34
Play 9 8 16 22 24 41
Play 10 2 6 24 28 41
Play 11 6 8 12 22 31
Play 12 2 16 31 34 37
Play 13 12 22 32 37 41
Play 14 2 8 28 32 34
Play 15 3 6 24 34 37
Play 16 2 6 11 12 16
Play 17 2 22 24 31 32
Play 18 6 8 11 34 41
Play 19 3 8 16 22 28
Play 20 11 12 24 28 31
Play 21 3 6 16 24 32
Play 22 2 16 28 37 41
Play 23 3 6 31 34 41
Play 24 8 11 16 32 37
Play 25 12 22 28 34 37
Play 26 3 11 22 24 31
Play 27 2 3 8 12 41 

Here are the numbers drew at Cash 5 starting with today, January 8th, 2011

1) 16-19-23-32-38 (Jan 8, 2011)

As you probably noticed I am not playing all 43 numbers in my systems. I missed 19 and 38. I've got 20 times two numbers in a row which is paid as $20.

2) 5-17-25-31-37 (Jan 9)

Missed 5 and 17. However, I've got two third prizes (3 numbers on the same row) for 11 dollars each. I've also got 18 times two numbers for 1 dollar each. In total I've got 40 dollars today. The goal is to get 4 in a row after 250 draws.

3) 12 -13 -34 -35 -39 (Jan 10)
Missed 13 and 39. Got only two times 4th prize. Total two dollars! Very bad day.

4) 3-8-19-20-26 (Jan 11)
Three times 4th prize. Three dollars in total

5) 8-21-27-28-41 (Jan 12)
Missed 27. One third prize and 20x 4th prize.

6) 3-14-16-35-40 (Jan 13)
Missed 40. 11x 4th prize

7) 1-4-21-23-29 (Jan 14)
The challenge continues. I haven't got all 5 numbers yet. Missed 29 today.  Very close to get 4 numbers in one row. I've got 4 of them in system number 5. However, I've got only 3x 3rd prizes. I've got 3 of them in system number 8). In total I've got 7x3rd prize and 25x 4th prize. The best day so far. I've got 91 dollars.

8) 23-32-36-40-43 (Jan 15)
Missed 36, 40, 43. Got 4x 4th prize.

9) 10-17-29-38-40 (Jan 16)
Got only one number, 10.No prize today.


10) 4-29-35-37-43
Missed 29 and 43. I've got 8x 4th prize

11) 8-24-28-29-39
8x 4th prize



12) 1-3-23-30-42 (Jan 19)
Missed 42. 2 third prize + 30x 4th prize

13) 1-4-9-42-43 (Jan 20)

Missed 42,43. 2x third prize and 7x 4th prize

14) 3-17-21-26-33 (jan 21)
Missed 17 and 26.  3x 4th prize

15) 1 -10 -20 -22 -38
16) 4 -5 -23 -39 -41
17) 8 -17 -35 -37 -43
18) 6 -17 -18 -41 -43  
19) 20- 23 -35 -37 -42
20) 2 -10 -35 -38 -43
21) 4 -7 -20 -27 -39    
22) 14 -18 -21 -38 -42  (Jan 29)
23) 06  22  23  36  41
24) 04  09  13  17  31 (Jan 31)



From January 21 to January 31 I've got 5x third prize and 97x 4th prize. From January 8th to January 31st I've got 15x third prize. No second prize yet but I am pretty sure that I am getting at least one second prize.

25)
26)
27)
28)
30)
31)
32)
33)
34)
35)
36)
37)
38)
39)
40) 01  02  08  21  25. The closest I've got to the second prize. I've got all 5 numbers in system 8). Unfortunately, I've got no second prize, only 4x third prize.

I already got the second prize three times! See new entries. Another second prize on July 9th 2011









Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Blackjack tips

Blackjack is one of the few casino games that you can win in a consistent manner. You need a little bit of luck, of course, but there are also rules  you need to obey in order to be successful. When talking about tricks for winning at blackjack everybody thinks about counting cards. I never do this, I need to count not only my own cards but everybody's else cards and I found this stressful. When I go to a casino I want to have a good time not to be stressed. Plus, the dealer may notice that you are too concentrated on your game, a sign that you may count cards and if he/she sees a pattern in your betting, she may ask you to leave.

This article is not about counting, is about a few strategies every "pro" knows but fortunately for the casino owners the majority of the players are not aware of. Just a quick summary for those of you not familiar with the game. The dealer deals two cards for you, face up, and two for her, one face up and one face down. Your total needs to be 21 or less. The closer to 21 the better. f the total of the two cards you have is 12 for example you can ask for one more card. If it's a 10 your total is going to be 22 and you are BUSTED, you lose since you can't go above 21. If it's a 3 your total is going to be 15, still not good enough to stand (you need 17) so you'll need to ask for another card. The chance to get busted this time is even higher since not only 10 but also 9, 8, and 7 will make your total jumping over 21.





Cards value

In blackjack all cards have their nominal value except J, Q , K  that are all valued as 10 points. This is very important because at any given moment drawing a 10 has the highest probability among all cards since there are four cards with this value, 10, J, Q and K. An A could count as either 11 or as 1. If you have an Ace and a 6 this will have a total of 17. You can ask for one more card. If it's a 2, 3 or a 4 your total will be 21 or less but if you draw a 5 or anything above 5 you're not going to get busted since your Ace automatically will be considered a 1.

The strategy you need to apply depends on both your cards and the dealer's face up card. You may play with many other people as your table but you don't care about their cards unless you're counting them.

The house has two advantages in this game first, the majority of the players don't apply the rules and second, you need to make a decision first and if you get busted you lose. Only after everybody at the table got busted or decided to STAND the dealer will show you the second card. If the total is 17 or above the dealer is forced to stand. This is one rule in your advantage. Let's say you have an 18 and the dealer has an 17. The dealer already lost. without this rule he would draw another card since has nothing to lose. A 2, 3 or a 4 would put her in the winning position.

When to stand?

Before knowing these rules I always stand if I had 17 or above. Anything bellow 17 I always hit. This is a major mistake. It all depends on the dealer's face up card. The worst hand for  the dealer is 16. She can't stand on 16, needs at least 17, but the chance to get busted at 16 is very high. A 6, 7, 8, 9 or 10 will all work in your favor since the dealer is going to bust and you will win no matter on what total you did stand. So, if the dealer face up card is a 6 there is a big chance that the other card is a 10, since 10 is the highest probability card. With a total of 16 she needs to deal another card  with a big chance to bust. In this situation I stand on any total from 12 to 21! If dealer has a 4 or a 5 this is good enough for me to stand on any hand with a total between 12 and 21 since the dealer has a pretty good chance to get busted. If dealer has a 2 or a 3 sometimes I stand, some other times I hit.

When to split?

If you have a pair of aces you need to split. Two reasons for this, one is that a total of 12 is not great, second since the highest probability card is a card valued 10 you have a great chance to get a blackjack on one or both hands. When you split you need to double your bet since you have two hands now. This is probably one of the few rules everybody knows about! Another "must split" is a pair of 8s since the sum, 16, is the worst possible hand you could have. However, if the dealer has an ace a 9 or a 10 you are taking a bigger risk since you can lose twice the money you bet. Never split two 10's! Your total is 20, second best possible. I do split 10's only in one particular situation, if the dealer has a 6! It's still a bad move since I am giving away a great hand (I do this ONLY when I am winning big time and I don't care about losing a hand). The reason I am doing it is because the dealer has the worst card possible and most likely she will get busted. In this way I am winning twice the amount by splitting the hand. I don't split 2's, 3's, 4's and especially 5's and 6's. If you have two 5's, this total 10, a very good hand. Splitting two 6's could you end up having two hands with a total of 16, the worst possible total. The only exception is when the dealer has a bad card, a 4, 5 or a 6. Then I may split anything since the dealer has a great chance to bust. Other people advice on splitting 2's, 3's and 6's no matter what. 

When to double?

This is another way to increase the odds of walking as a winner at blackjack, you need to know when to double. Your best card total is 11. I always double on an 11 (except when the dealer has an A) since with a 10 I can make 21. I also double on a 10 if the dealer has a 9 or a smaller card. Everybody knows to double on an 11 but here comes the big play. If the dealer has a 4,5 or especially a 6 I double on any hand that has a sum of 11 or less. I rarely see people doing this move. Another 'pro" move is to double on "soft" hand, Ace with anything else between 2 and 6 IF the dealer has 4,5 or especially a 6. You can't get busted since your ace will become a 1 if you draw a 10, 9, 8... AND the dealer has a great chance to get busted. If you have an ace with a 8 or a 9 for a 19 or 20 total you better stand. Of course I never double on a hand higher that 12!

When to hit?

Most of the time you need to HIT, ask for another card. If the dealer has 7 or above you need to hit since he may get a 10 and stand. The worst situation for you is the dealer having a 10 or an ace and you have a total of 12 to 16. In this situation you have to hit and many times you are going to get busted! If you have at least 17 you should stand no matter what the dealer's face up card is. Let the dealer getting burst if she has a 4,5 or a 6 or even for a 2 or a 3. As I mentioned earlier, is a good strategy to stand on any hand with a sum 12 or higher. Some people adopt the "no bust strategy" and they don't hit if the total is above 12. this is a mistake. If dealer has a 7 or a higher card you have a better chance to win the hand if you hit than if you stand. 

With these consideration in mind try to play the blackjack game if you find on this page, on the right side, and see if the overall winning probability has increased or not. I could bet you are winning more now!

As a summary  use this chart I found on internet. Some casinos let you take this chart with you when playing but I think you should learn the logic behind these strategies that I tried to explain here than memorizing the chart.



Let me know if you have questions or more tips I am not aware of.

Have fun!

Happy New Year!

babaro23

Sunday, December 26, 2010

12 numbers, 6N (-2)

A 12 numbers system for 6 out of 49 game. It's a system reduced 97.61%, you are playing only 22 plays out of 924 possible, yet you have a guaranteed third prize.

Here is the system:

1)  1-2-3-4-5-6
2)  1-2-3-7-8-9
3)  1-2-4-7-10-11
4)  1-2-5-8-10-12
5)  1-2-6-9-11-12
6)  1-3-4-8-11-12
7)  1-3-5-9-10-11
8)  1-3-6-7-10-12
9)  1-4-5-7-9-12
10) 1-4-6-8-9-10
11) 1-5-6-7-8-11
12) 2-3-4-9-10-12
13) 2-3-5-7-11-12
14) 2-3-6-8-10-11
15) 2-4-5-8-9-11
16) 2-4-6-7-8-12
17) 2-5-6-79-10
18) 3-4-5-7-8-10
19) 3-4-6-7-9-11
20) 3-5-6-8-9-12
21) 4-5-6-10-11-12
22) 7-8-9-10-11-12

With no miss you have 2% chance to get the jackpot, 86% to get one second prize +5x third prize and 12% chance to get 9x third prize. With one miss you have 17% chance to get one second prize and 83% to get 3x third prize. 

P.S. Visit the sponsors pages for more tips

15 numbers, 5N (-2) system

A pretty decent 15 numbers system that guarantees 3x third prize if the drawn numbers happen to be among the 15 numbers you chose. 

1)  4-5-9-11-14
2)  1-2-4-6-14
3)  2-5-11-12-15
4)  2-5-8-10-13
5)  1-3-5-8-13
6)  2-6-10-11-15
7)  3-7-10-12-14
8)  6-7-9-12-13
9)  4-7-8-9-15
10) 1-3-9-10-15
11) 3-4-6-8-11
12) 1-7-11-13-14
13) 6-8-12-14-15
14) 1-4-10-12-13
15) 2-3-9-13-14
16) 1-3-5-6-7
17) 1-8-9-11-12
18) 2-4-7-8-10
19) 3-4-5-13-15
20) 5-6-9-10-11
21) 2-3-7-9-12
22) 1-7-10-14-15
23) 2-3-11-13-15
24) 4-5-7-12-14
25) 6-8-10-13-14
26) 2-5-8-9-11
27) 1-2-4-6-15

With no miss you have 31% chance to hit the jackpot, 46% chance to hit the second prize and 23% chance to hit the third prize. With one miss you have 50% chance to hit the second prize and 50% chance to hit the third prize. As you notice, while you have a decent chance to hit the jackpot or the second prize only the third prize is guaranteed if the numbers drawn are among the 15 you picked.

Good luck!

babaro

P.S. Let me know if you win something using these systems.  I am "only" charging 50% of your gain :)

10 numbers system, 5N (-1)

I am going to post two types of lottery systems, one that guarantee second prize which I am going to label them minus 1  (-1) and others that guarantee the third prize, labeled minus 2 (-2). Of course the -2 systems are going to be cheapper. I am also going to show you systems for "5 out of 39" labeled "5N" and "6 out of 49" labeled "6N". It doesn't necessarily need to be 5 out of 39, it could be 5 out of 45 or anything else

Today I am going to show you a 10 numbers system that guarantee you a second prize so it's a -1 system.

Replace these numbers with your favorite numbers. The system consists of 18 plays. 

1) 2-3-8-9-10
2) 2-5-7-8-9
3) 1-2-3-6-7
4) 1-4-5-7-9
5) 1-6-7-8-10
6) 4-5-8-9-10
7) 1-2-4-6-9
8) 1-3-6-8-9
9) 3-5-6-7-10
10) 2-3-4-5-9
11) 2-5-6-8-10
12) 1-4-5-6-10
13) 3-4-6-7-8
14) 1-3-4-9-10
15) 2-4-6-7-10
16) 1-2-5-9-10
17) 1-3-4-5-8
18) 1-2-4-8-10

If you have no miss you have 19% chance to hit the jackpot and 81% to hit the second prize. If you have one miss you have 57% chance to hit the second prize and 43% chance to hit third prize.

Good luck!

babaro

Higher probability game

Gambling ads spice to our lives. My favorite type of gambling is stock market. I like it because is not actually 100% gambling, it takes a lot of knowledge and experience to be successful. Once you learn the rules you can turn the odds in your favor and make a pretty decent amount of money. Second best form of gambling, from my perspective, is casino gambling. Here odds are mostly in favor of the casino owners especially if you are playing the most popular casino game, "the one arm bandit". However there are at least two games where you can win, one is poker if you are a pretty good player, have a little bit of luck and play against weaker opponents and the other one is blackjack where there are also rules you can follow and be pretty successful.

The third form of gambling is lottery. You may think that lottery is 100% luck. Think again! There are ways to increase your odds. The first mistake people do is playing the highest jackpot games, Powerball, Mega Millions or Euro millions. The chance to win these games is very low. The chance to hit second or third prize is also low. Instead of playing these games better focus on games like "5 out of 39" or "6 out of 49". Second most important rule is to try to win the second or third prize, not the jackpot. There are no shortcuts or magic formulas to win the jackpot but there are lottery systems that gives you a better chance to win second or third prizes.

I know it sounds crazy but let me give you a quick example to prove my point. Let's say you have 12 dollars to spend on a "6 out of 49" game. You can play 12 "quickpicks". Statistically you may get  one number here, one number there, maybe 2 on the same line. You are happy you've got a few numbers but you still didn't get any prize. Now let's say you want to pick 9 numbers out of 49 and make all 6-numbers combinations possible. How many of them are there?

9*8*7/1*2*3= 84 combinations

That means you need to spend 84 dollars to play all of them. This is a lot of money, plus you need to be very lucky that the 6 numbers drawn to be among the 9 numbers you have chosen.

Now let's see how a lottery system work. I don't know exactly how these systems are created but I am giving you the "final product".


Instead of picking all 84 combinations the computer picks only 12 of them and they are:

1-2-3-4-5-6
1-2-3-4-7-8
1-2-3-6-7-9
1-2-4-5-8-9
1-2-5-6-7-8
1-3-4-6-8-9
1-3-5-7-8-9
1-4-5-6-7-9
2-3-4-5-7-9
2-3-5-6-8-9
2-4-6-7-8-9
3-4-5-6-7-8




If the lottery numbers drawn that night are any numbers between 1 and 9 or if you have one or two misses here are your odds:

Your numbers Prize Percentage
no miss 1x6 correct + 9x4 correct 14%
no miss 3x5 correct + 6x4 correct 86%
one miss 1x5 corect + 3x4 correct 57%
one miss 6x4 correct 43%%
two misses 2x4 correct 43%%
two misses 1x4 correct 57%


You played only 12 combinations out of 84 possible but you are guaranteed 3x second prizes and you even have 14% chance to hit the jackpot. If you try to randomly pick 12 combinations out of the 84 possible you may have the surprise to hit only 4 numbers despite the fact you didn't have any miss.

I played many of these systems over the years, my favorite being those with 5 numbers. I never got the jackpot but I've got twice the second prize and many more times the third prize. Again, I am not too serious about lottery, I prefer "gambling" on stock market but if you have any interest in lottery please check this blog from time to time since i am going to give you many more systems.

Good luck!

babaro